”IPCC’s Climate Models are Wrong”

Gäster på Klimatforum är idag de finska teknologerna Seppo Ruotto och Pertti Sarkomaa (professor emeritus vid LUT University (Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology).

”We have studied IPCC’s climate models and noticed several thermodynamically indisputable errors. General secretary of WMO and the leading Finnish climate physicists do not deny the errors but conceal them.”

Klimatforum ger dem förstås gärna en plattform.


IPCC’s Climate Models are Wrong

March 2021

 Seppo Ruottu and Pertti Sarkomaa

Content

References ………………………………………………………………………………1

Introduction …………………………………………………………………………….1

Summary ………………………………………………………………………………..2

IPCC’s climate models exploit “cloud feedback” which does not exist ………….2

Dogma is based on supposition that use of fossil fuels increases inevitably CO2-concentration in the atmosphere. …………………………………………………….3

References

(1) IPCC: Climate Change 2013 – The Physical Science Basis – Summary for Policymakers, Technical Summary and Frequently Asked Questions

(2) Mark D. Zelinka, David A. Randall, Mark J. Webb and Stephen A. Klein, Clearing clouds of uncertainty, NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE | VOL 7 | OCTOBER 2017 |

(3) IPCC: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing

(4) Pertti Sarkomaa, Seppo Ruottu, Climate Change and Use of Fossil Fuels. 2019

(5) Pertti Sarkomaa, Seppo Ruottu, Global Climate Model with Three Entities, March 2021

(6) Email discussions between Sectary-General of WMO Professor Petteri Taalas, General Director of FMI Professor Jussi Kaurola, Academic Markku Kulmala, Professor Ari Laaksonen, Professor Timo Vesala, Editor in chief Jouko Jokinen, President Sauli Niinistö, Professor Pertti Sarkomaa, Professor Seppo Ruottu. 18.02.2021…1.3.2021

(7) BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2020

Introduction

IPCC was established in 1988 by the United Nations’ bodies WMO and UNEP to prove the dogma that 1) use of fossil fuels inevitably increases of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere 2) increase of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere causes for mankind destructive increase of global surface temperature (hence forward Dogma). This paper proves that both arguments of Dogma are wrong.

Dogma has caused enormous damage among others

1. by causing demolishing of energy technically necessary fossil power plants which increase photosynthesis of the ecosystem

2. by replacing them by billions of euros energy technically invalid and ecologically useless wind turbines

3. by distorting by legislation and political guidance competition between energies and technologies

4. by guiding R&D to economically and ecologically invalid projects

5. by distorting liberty of scientific research by funding which is reserved only for the Dogma supporting research

6. by emissions trade which can be parallelized with indulgence trade and by gigantic “carbon footprint” business which has no influence on climate

7. by causing worldwide angst of ignorant children and young people like Greta Thunberg who categorically believe in IPCC.

However, the most damaging consequence of Dogma is the global aim to minimize amount of carbon in the cycle of nature and CO2-concentration in the atmosphere because it minimizes mankind’s sustainable production food and energy (4).

Thermodynamics is the field of physics which forms the theoretical foundation of mathematical modelling of climate. When correlation of CO2-concentration and global surface temperature is calculated correctly by applying the standard procedures of thermodynamics, the correlation is so weak that it could not be detected empirically (5). The explanation is self-evident. Due to the three phases of water in the atmosphere thermal emission to the ground is so near Planck’s radiation that increase of radiative compounds do not increase thermal emission to the ground. When in addition changes of clouds strongly oppose all changes of global surface temperature, changes of amounts of noncondensing gases in the atmosphere change global surface temperature so little that it could not be detected empirically. Since the discussions of reference (6) WMO has known that Dogma is wrong. Because WMO still supports Dogma WMO misleads governments and citizens of its member states.

Comprehensive presentation on errors of IPCC’s climate models has been presented in reference (5). The aim of this paper is to prove concisely but physically indisputably that IPCC’s climate models and accordingly Dogma is all wrong.

Summary

IPCC’s climate change claim is based on suppositions of makers of IPCC’s climate model that 1) use of fossil fuels inevitably increases of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere 2) increase of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere causes for mankind destructive increase of global surface temperature. In this paper both claims are proved to be wrong.

IPCC’s climate models exploit “cloud feedback” which does not exist

Dogma is based on suppositions of makers of IPCC’s climate models that Subtle changes in cloud properties that accompany anthropogenic warming — cloud feedbacks — can strongly amplify or dampen that warming (2). Warming and the warming accompanying change in clouds are quantities of different moments so, “cloud feedback” is interaction of quantities of different moments. Conservation laws of physics state that only quantities of present moment exist so, interaction of quantities of different moments and accordingly cloud feedback does not exist. Cloud feedback does not go to physics but to beliefs.

This physical self-evidence is confirmed empirically by that in spite decades research makers of IPCC’s climate models have not been able to verify 1) existence, 2) sign or 3) magnitude of cloud feedback. Axiomatic consequence of each of the items 1) … 3) is that IPCC’s cloud feedback exploiting climate models, and accordingly Dogma, is all wrong. Even WMO does not deny this self-evidence but conceals it.

Dogma is based on supposition that use of fossil fuels increases inevitably CO2-concentration in the atmosphere. 

Conservation law of elements state that at each amount of carbon in the cycle of nature CO2-concentration in the atmosphere depends on amounts of fossil fuels and biomass of the ecosystem. If carbon of used fossil fuels is bound by photosynthesis to biomass of the ecosystem, CO2-concentration in the atmosphere does not change whereupon Dogma is per se wrong.

Figure 1. Annual energies (EJ=1018J) of natural gas, oil, coal, biomass, other energy sources, fossil energy, total energy, and CO2-concentration in the atmosphere as functions of time (4)(7). Comprehensive presentation on the theoretical foundations of the calculations has been presented in reference (4). In the calculations of figure 1 use of photosynthetic biomass was adjusted so that CO2-concentrtion in the atmosphere did not change from the present 400 ppm. So, all carbon of present fossil fuels can be returned to the cycle of nature without increasing CO2-concentrtion in the atmosphere.

In 2020 about 85% from global energy consumption was produced by fossil fuels and their consumption continues increasing because there are no other options to satisfy mankind’s increasing energy consumption (7). Total energy of presently known fossil fuels is about 39807 EJ. When carbon of fossil fuels has been returned to the cycle of nature sustainable use of bioenergy is about 816 EJ/a which is about 1.66-times the energy of use of all fossil fuels in 2020. IPCC’s aim to stop use of fossil fuels by 2050 is both unrealistic, senseless, and destructive for mankind. Particularly because carbon of fossil fuels can be returned to the cycle of nature without increasing CO2-concentration in the atmosphere.

The calculations prove that all carbon of presently known fossil fuels can be returned to the cycle of nature without increasing CO2-concentrtion in the atmosphere so, Dogma is based on per se wrong calculations.

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En reaktion till “”IPCC’s Climate Models are Wrong”

  1. Gösta Surén 29 mars, 2021 — 11:19

    Tack Staffan för intressant information.

    Gilla

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